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Cameron Smyth: A strong GOP lineup

Posted: September 1, 2016 5:31 p.m.
Updated: September 1, 2016 5:31 p.m.
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They say election season really doesn’t start until Labor Day, and if that’s the case the Santa Clarita Valley, along with our nation, is in for a wild 67 days! 


With every legislative seat open, along with numerous local races, it’s going to be difficult for anyone in Santa Clarita to say they don’t know the candidates.


Today I wanted to highlight the great lineup of Republican candidates at the top of our local ticket here in Santa Clarita who are ready to roll.


Steve Knight – Congress: In what many say is the No. 1 targeted congressional race in the country, Steve Knight will hold the seat for Republicans. While the demographics have shifted in this district, the best the Dems could do was a carpet-bagging attorney from West Los Angeles.


Scott Wilk – State Senate: Senate leader Kevin De Leon has made this seat has top priority as well, but much like the congressional seat, the Dems have an extremely flawed candidate going up against a top-flight candidate in Scott Wilk.


Steve Fazio – State Senate: Representing the western portion of the SCV, this is a heavily Democrat district going all the way into Malibu. No lie this is a tough seat, but unlike the Dems, Republicans have an extremely qualified candidate in retired LAPD officer turned successful businessman Steve Fazio.


Dante Acosta – State Assembly: While the Assembly Speaker may have dreams of turning this seat blue, it remains a solidly Republican district. Mr. Acosta is working hard throughout the district to make sure its stays in the Republican column.


Now much has been made about the presidential race and how it will affect these races across the county, and a candidate would be foolish not to consider its impacts.


The “RealClearPolitics” poll average has Clinton leading by five points as of this writing. However, that is a three-point drop from two weeks ago, and I believe the volatility of the presidential race will continue until Donald Trump is able to secure the Republican base.


With roughly 70 percent of Republicans supporting, he is leaving a large (and critical) portion of what should be his base on the table. If he cannot get that number closer to 90 percent, the race is over.


So it speaks to the weakness of Secretary Clinton that despite all Trump’s failings and missteps, she cannot break clear of the Republican candidate and is, in fact, trending downward again – a recent report showed that less than 30 percent of Americans find her “honest and trustworthy.”


But that report highlights the weakness of Trump! How can you be trailing someone whom a majority of Americans don’t trust?


At this point the math is becoming clear. If Trump can bring the Republican base “home” he has a shot. If not, we can say hello to President Clinton.


Cameron Smyth is a former Republican Assemblyman who represented the Santa Clarita Valley. He lives in Newhall with his wife and children.

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